Ամերիկացի պատմաբանը կարծում է, որ ԱՄՆ նախագահական ընտրություններին կհաղթի Ջո Բայդենը
ANALYSISԱմերիկացի պատմաբան Ալան Լիհթմանը կարծում է, որ ԱՄՆ նախագահական ընտրություններին կհաղթի Ջո Բայդենը: Նա ճիշտ է կանխագուշակել ԱՄՆ նախագահական բոլոր ընտրությունների արդյունքները 1984 թվականից: 2016 թվականին նա կանխագուշակել էր Դոնալդ Թրամփի հաղթանակը, գրում է NYT-ը:
Լիհթմանի մեթոդն անտեսում է անցկացված բոլոր հարցումներն ու մանրամասն վերլուծությունները:
«Սոցհարցումներն ու փորձագետները քննարկում են ընտրություններն այնպես, ասես դրանք հեքիաթային են: Սակայն պատմությունն ասում է, որ ընտրողներին չի կարելի հիմարեցնել նախընտրական քարոզարշավով: Ընտրողները քվեարկում են՝ կախված նրանից, թե որքանով է կարողանում կուսակցությունը ղեկավարել երկիրը»,-ասել է Լիհթմանը:
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Trust and reach across the globe
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